Expect that truck bringing parts to your dealership service department to still have a driver behind the wheel at least for the foreseeable future.
A new report from Navigant Research released on Wednesday analyzed the state of the automated medium- and heavy-duty commercial vehicle market, providing global market forecasts, segmented by vehicle class and region, through 2030.
Report authors noted that advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and automated driving systems (ADS) for commercial vehicles have been gaining market attention for several years. While growth of ADS is expected to be rapid once the technology is fully developed, Navigant Research determined that volumes will remain low over the next decade.
Navigant Research estimated annual sales of highly automated commercial vehicles are not expected to exceed 1% until 2028.
“Automated technologies can provide many benefits for the commercial vehicle sector, but challenges such as advancing technological abilities, overreliance on partially automated systems, regulatory environments, and public perception will all need to be managed moving forward,” Navigant Research analyst William Drier said.
According to the report, once challenges are overcome, the most substantial benefit from ADAS is the potential safety increases it can provide through features such as automatic emergency braking, lane departure warning and lane keeping assist.
Navigant Research projected that there is also the potential for fuel efficiency gains through platooning in the heavy-duty long-haul truck sector.
Additionally, the report mentioned higher levels of automation could eventually reduce labor costs by replacing some of the labor, while providing downward price pressure on the demand for labor in the rest of the market.
The report titled, Automated Commercial Vehicles, analyzed the state of the automated medium and heavy-duty commercial vehicle market. The study was designed to provide an overview of the new and established key players operating in the market.
The report also explored the potential opportunities for growth and development, as well as the challenges to market expansion of ADAS and ADS.
Navigant Research shared an executive summary as well as the opportunity purchase the entire research report .