Vehicle Supply

Late-model auction volume up from February, still trails 2017

CARY, N.C.  - 

Though up more than 13 percent from February, the number of late-model units hitting the auction lanes in March continued what’s looking like a slowdown from 2017.

According to the latest Guidelines report from J.D. Power Valuation Services, late-model auction last month was down 11.7 percent year-over-year.  

While the year-to-date decline eased from February (where it was 5.8 percent), first quarter late-model volume was still down 5.3 percent in March, the report said.

“At the segment level, so far year-to-date, some of the largest volume increases have been observed among SUV segments, ” J.D. Power analysts said in the report, pointing out luxury compact utility vehicles (up 71.7 percent) and large utility vehicles (up 27.8 percent).

Elsewhere in the report, J.D. Power did note one particular segment — albeit, not just within late models, but vehicles up to 8 years in age — that saw a massive jump in volume last month.

Auction volume for luxury large utilities climbed almost 24 percent from February. Year-to-date, it has jumped 3.9 percent. And that “isn’t helping prices” for the segment, which were down 3.1 percent in March.

Another year of 10 million cars

Overall, you can expect another year of 10 million wholesale vehicles at traditional, brick-and-mortar auto auctions in 2018, according to Cox Automotive’s 2018 Used Car Market Report & Outlook

That report’s section on wholesale volumes and pricing was written by Zohaib Rahim, manager of economic industry insights at Cox Automotive .Rahim said wholesale volumes at physical auctions should remain at this “near-record” height referenced above. In 2017, the tally was close to 10 million, according to an estimate of member auction sales by the National Auto Auction Association cited in the Cox Automotive report.

However, look for a spike in the number of cars going into off-site digital channels, Rahim said in the report.

“If 2017 was the year of traditional auctions, 2018 will be the year of an increase in non-traditional channels,” Rahim wrote. “Total wholesale transactions in a given year are more than twice the NAAA-member volume. Other channels include direct sales between dealers — sometimes with a wholesaler as an intermediary — commercial accounts selling directly to dealers or retail customers, and sales at non-NAAA member auctions.”

Rahim goes on to point out that lease returns, a major source of used-car supply, will go through a number of various channels — including, but not limited to, the physical auctions — to reach the wholesale market.

“Still, despite the large volume in the other channels, it is the real-time, competitive-bid price discovery in the auction channel that serves as the benchmark for pricing in the other venues,” Rahim said.

 


Late-model vehicle volume climbs nearly 34%

CARY, N.C. - 

The year has started with a big push in volume for newer used cars, as nearly 273,000 late-model units made their way into the auction market last month.

And that includes massive lifts from some SUV and truck segments. 

That’s according to the latest Guidelines report from J.D. Power Valuation Services, which said auction volume for late-model vehicles — i.e. cars from the 2015 through 2018 model years — was up 33.8 percent month-over-month.

However, January’s late-model auction volume total was off slightly (down 0.8 percent) from the same month a year ago.

The lifts in truck and SUV volume were particularly strong, J.D. Power said, with SUVs topping the industry: There was a 63.1-percent hike for compact premium SUVs and a 24.9-percent jump for large SUV volume.

Looking at the breakdown of late-model vehicle volume at auction in January, 54 percent were cars and 46 percent were trucks, according to J.D. Power. 

So cars still dominate the volume. Still, the gains in truck and SUV auction volume could be a welcome sign for some who have found that the mix in vehicles coming off lease, for instance, hasn’t reflected consumer demand on the retail side.

“That is absolutely off-balance,” said AutoNation chief executive Mike Jackson, when asked during the retailer’s latest earnings call if the vehicle mix among the off-lease volume was in line with consumer demand. 

“But the way you have to think about it is, these are vehicles that were put in the marketplace three or four years ago, and the shift had already started towards trucks back then and has only accelerated since then,” Jackson said. “So it’s not ideal, and that then will be reflected in the pricing.

“But still, it’s a value point for consumers and a volume of choice that they never had before.”

In a conference call with media earlier this month, Autotrader executive analyst Michelle Krebs shared an example of a specific vehicle that’s often turned first in the fleet segment and then impacted by the appeal of utilities.

She added how the matter is compounded with an off-lease surge of popular models.

“With the (Chevrolet) Cruze, that’s a car that has significant fleet sales. When GM cuts back on fleet, it’s going to hit vehicles like the Cruze,” Krebs said.

“There’s are going to be a lot of off-lease utility vehicles coming back into the market so someone might be thinking about a brand new Cruze because that what’s they can afford — and I’m not picking on the Cruze — but they really want a sport utility. And now they’ve got more choices with more 3-year-old utilities in the market,” she went on to say.

Staff writer Nick Zulovich contributed to this report. 

Late-model auction & off-lease volume trends

CARY, N.C. - 

More than 2.8 million late-model vehicles hit the auction market last year, according to J.D. Power Valuation Services.

This marked a 3.2-percent bump in late-model auction volume, the company said in its latest Guidelines report.

Some of those, of course, would be off-lease vehicles. Cox Automotive is anticipating 3.89 million off-lease units in 2018, which would be up from 3.59 million in 2017.

While that’s more than an 8-percent hike, the growth in off-lease volume is slowing down a bit.

Off-lease volume in 2017 was up more than 16 percent, following a more than 22-percent gain in 2016, according to data in a Cox Automotive presentation.

Still, 2018 is expected to be a record year for lease returns, according to Edmunds.

Case in point: there were 4 million vehicle leases written in 2015, the company said in its 2018 Automotive Industry Trends report, which was a 12-percent hike.

The following year was the peak, with just under 4.5 million lease originations, before the market trimmed down below 4 million again in 2017, Edmunds said.

 

 

 

 

 

Used market, inventory ‘mismatched with demand’

SANTA MONICA, Calif. - 

Used sales were down by about 3 percent from last year’s performance in the third quarter. According to the Edmunds "Q3 2017 Used Vehicle Market Report" released earlier this week, the drop was caused by a slowdown in used-vehicle sales in Texas and Florida due to recent hurricanes.

In Q3, there were a total of 9.36 million total sales; compared to 9.67 million sales during the same quarter of 2016. This past quarter, 2.9 million of these used vehicles were franchise used sales, while CPO sales came in at a total of 678,960, according to the Edmunds report. 

“CPO sales continue to benefit from the abundance of off-lease inventory and represented 23 percent of all franchise used sales,” the report stated.

The report also pointed out that used-vehicle prices are edging higher due to strong sales of trucks and SUVs. The average transaction price for a retail used vehicle in Q3, according to Edmunds data, was $19,402, which is up 0.9 percent from the same period last year.

As for what’s causing the upward trend, Edmunds has this to say: “The share of sales of 3-year-old and newer vehicles has stabilized and isn’t pulling the average toward higher ‘near new’ pricing as that segment had in the past.

“However, pricier light trucks bought new at retail and for rental fleets have still managed to push used prices higher,” the report continued.

Another trend that could be driving prices higher for used cars? More lower mileage vehicles. According to the report, average mileage on used vehicles is dropping. Since Q3 of 2012, the average number of miles on a used-car transaction has dropped 14 percent.

Edmunds attributes this trend to “the pipeline” of low-mileage lease returns that are hitting the market.

But this could potentially cause issues for dealers as Edmunds shared newer and lower mileage used units are sitting on dealers lots while consumers instead choose older and less expensive vehicles.

In other words, the used market and inventory is “mismatched with demand,” Edmunds pointed out. Shoppers are looking for cheaper and older used models, but the market is flush with 3-year-old and newer used pre-owned vehicles. And the flow of lease returns is not expected to slow anytime soon.

“Within the next few years, we will continue to see the population of off-lease used vehicles swell, which is likely to drop their values due to market saturation,” Edmunds said. “This trend is likely to put pressure on the market downstream when their values become closer in line with those of older and higher-mileage vehicles.”

Late-model auction volume approaches 2 million

CARY, N.C.  - 

Year-to-date auction volume on late-model vehicles wrapped up August just a shade under 2 million units, with nearly a 22-percent sequential hike for last month alone.

According to the latest Guidelines report from J.D. Power Valuation Services, the late-model auction volume tally of 1.94 million units through August is up 6.67 percent from a year ago.

The 257,831 units of late-model auction volume last month was a 21.8-percent hike over July.

In the report, J.D. Power breaks down some of the year-to-date gains, where trucks and SUVs have led the pack. That includes the luxury compact utility segment (up 55.3 percent) and midsize pickups (up 42.7 percent).

Luxury midsize cars, meanwhile, are off 19.6 percent. There has been a 14.2-percent dip for large cars.

“In terms of volume share, used cars continue to dominate at 54 percent of the market, while truck share lags behind at 46 percent, which is a reversal of what’s occurring on the new-vehicle side of the market,” J.D. Power’s report said.

Of course, the hurricanes in recent weeks have impacted the market in September, driving down supply and bumping demand, according to an analysis from Cox Automotive.

In a note to update used-car trends mid-month, Cox Automotive chief economist Jonathan Smoke said: “As we pass mid-September, early indicators are the Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index (UVVI) will reach a fifth straight record high. Prices are on track to be up nearly 3 percent over August and 6 percent compared to September 2016. 

“These are significant increases.  If the pattern holds for the rest of September, we will be seeing the strongest annual price gains since 2010, when the economic recovery was beginning and used car supply was severely limited,” he said.

“All seven light-vehicle segments are seeing price gains month-to-month and year-over-year.  Even lowly midsize sedans, which have been seeing price declines for 10-straight months, are seeing gains this month.”

 

Inside the used-car numbers of Tesla

CARY, N.C.  - 

Tesla has been increasing its used-car sales this year, and based on discussion in its latest quarterly earning filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission, that trend will likely continue.

And when looking at Tesla’s volume in the auction lanes, those numbers have increased, as well, albeit from a small base.

According to data that J.D. Power Valuation Services shared with AuSM, Tesla’s year-to-date auction volume is up 160 percent through August, coming in at 670 units.

A year ago, Tesla’s auction volume through eight months was at 258 units, according to the J.D. Power data.

In August alone, Tesla’s auction volume was at 118, increasing dramatically from the 33 units in August 2016.

Used pricing trends

When consumers are shopping for Teslas, they are likely going to be interested in how well these cars hold their value.

For one model in particular, retention appears fairly strong.

Autolist.com projects that the Model 3 will depreciate 29 percent after 50,000 miles and 50 percent at the 100,000-mile mark.

The company said in a post on its website, “Looking at the Model S, its competitors and their in-brand counterparts, if the Model 3’s depreciation tracks analogously to the Model S and its gasoline rivals, the projected trajectory would be best in class.”

For instance, at the 100,000-mile mark, Autolist has the Audi A4 to have 60 percent depreciation, with the BMW 3-Series a couple points under 60 percent and the Mercedes-Benz C-Class hitting around 50- to 55-percent depreciation.

The company based the Model 3 projection on the Model S data. The full data set from Autolist

More on Tesla’s used-car sales

In its SEC filing, Tesla explains that pre-owned car sales are included in a revenue category called “services and other revenue,” along with maintenance services and the sales of electric vehicle powertrain components and systems Tesla makes for other manufacturers.

That slice of Tesla’s business was up 157 percent year-over-year (a $131.9 million spike) in the second quarter.

“This was primarily due to an increase in pre-owned vehicle sales as an organic result of increased automotive sales as well as from expansion of our trade-in program. Additionally, there were increases of $10.4 million from powertrain sales to Daimler, $10.2 million from the inclusion of engineering service revenue from Grohmann, which we acquired on January 3, 2017, and an increase in maintenance services revenue of $9.3 million as our fleet continues to grow,” Tesla shared in the filing.

“In future periods, we do not anticipate meaningful revenue from sales of powertrain or other vehicle systems and components to third parties,” it continued. “However, we anticipate that revenue from sales of pre-owned vehicles will continue to increase as the volume of pre-owned vehicle sales increases and that revenue from services by Grohmann will decrease as we primarily consume internally its services.”

Year-to-date, the increase in the “services and other revenue” component is at 124 percent (a $226.4 million increase).  Again, used vehicles were the driving factor.

“This was primarily due to an increase in pre-owned vehicle sales as an organic result of increased automotive sales as well as from expansion of our trade-in program,” Tesla leaders explained. “Additionally, there were increases of $32.6 million from the inclusion of engineering service revenue from Grohmann, an increase in maintenance service revenue of $23.0 million as our fleet continues to grow, and $16.7 million from powertrain sales to Daimler.”

Tesla production

Tesla also noted in the filing that it has ramped up production. In fact, the second quarter was a quarterly record for production; Tesla built 25,708 vehicles.

This occurred even with a lack of 100 kWh battery packs for the Model S and Model X as well as “disruptions from extensive installation of Model 3 manufacturing equipment,” the company said in the filing.

“For Model 3, as is inherent in the production ramp of each all-new product, we expect production to begin slowly, grow exponentially, and then tail off at full production. Accordingly, we expect to achieve a rate of 5,000 Model 3 vehicles per week by the end of 2017,” it said.

“We expect to further ramp to a rate of 10,000 Model 3 vehicles per week, and an annual Tesla vehicle production rate in excess of 500,000, at some point in 2018. We have designed Model 3 to facilitate a ramp to volume production, including through production facilities that are highly dense and automated, resulting in costs of materials and labor for Model 3 that are expected to be significantly lower than those of Model S and Model X,” the Tesla filling stated. “We also expect to make additional investments and preparations as we make milestone-based payments for Model 3 equipment and continue with Gigafactory 1 construction, in addition to expanding our Supercharger, store, delivery hub and service networks.”

Kontos’ 4-point assessment of Harvey fallout

CARMEL, Ind. - 

KAR Auction Services chief economist Tom Kontos spent the past few days poring over data and information that he’s encountered in connection with Hurricane Harvey; a storm meteorologists are calling a 1,000-year flood event.

Kontos explained in a special edition of the Kontos Kommentary there are four primary considerations for the automotive industry to understand as gasoline prices climb and the full macroeconomic impact likely taking months to unfold.

Kontos began with looking at total loss units versus damaged vehicles.

“Historically, we know that many of the vehicles damaged in a hurricane are not total losses. For example, in 2012’s Hurricane Sandy, of the 250,000 vehicles damaged only about 160,000 were total losses,” Kontos said.

“For the non-flood damaged vehicles, a total loss is only declared if the cost of repairs exceeds a certain threshold versus the vehicle’s value. So the same storm damage — dents, scratches, shattered glass — on one vehicle may be a total loss, but not on another, depending on their relative values,” he went on to say.

As KAR chairman and chief executive officer Jim Hallett referenced during an earlier conversation with AuSM, Kontos reiterated that commercial consigners — including the company’s rental, fleet and captive finance customers — are coordinating with KAR to push more units toward Houston and the Gulf region.

Both Hallett and Kontos emphasized that the 13 ADESA auctions in the area are operational and well-positioned to take on this additional inventory.

“But keep in mind, sellers don’t necessarily have to move inventory into the market pre-sale,” Kontos said. “As we’ve seen over the past few years, the volume of vehicles sold at online auctions is growing.

“Our online capabilities can match buyers with sellers and help them find the specific car or cars they are seeking — and then transport them after the sale,” he continued. “And our analytical capabilities can help advise remarketers on the economic desirability of moving inventory versus selling online.”

Next, Kontos touched on what he’s heard from the client roster held by Insurance Auto Auctions. He explained many insured individuals receive checks for the actual cash value, or the current value, of their vehicle — not the cost of a new model.

“As a result, we anticipate an uptick in demand for quality used cars once claims begin to be paid,” Kontos said. “Timing is an important factor here, given the current oversupply of used vehicles stemming from a surge of off-lease units hitting the market.

“While the number of total loss units is still unknown, IAA expects that number to be significant, and could help mitigate some of the downward pressure on used vehicle values by helping absorb this oversupply,” he continued.

Furthermore, Kontos mentioned the regional dynamics likely in play as Houston and the surrounding areas in Texas and Louisiana try to bounce back from Harvey.

“At the micro-level, trucks are very popular in Texas and have resisted the price softening we’ve seen with cars,” Kontos said. “Trucks are holding value better, in part, because gas prices have been low and the supply has been tighter compared to cars.

“The net impact is there will be an increased demand in this region for trucks and SUVs as people seek to replace their total loss trucks and SUVs. Compared to cars, sellers may find more price justification to move truck inventory to Texas,” he went on to say.

Kontos closed with a message to dealers, especially franchised operations that saw vehicles submerged by Harvey’s record rainfall.

“For Houston-area franchise dealers trying to replace damaged inventory, obtaining used car inventory at a time like this may be their best immediate option and value,” Kontos said. “Floor-planning quality used cars is more affordable than new cars, and the current oversupply of off-lease used vehicles means these vehicles are quickly and readily obtainable.

“And a stable of quality used cars will ready-match dealer supply to demand as consumers seek to affordably replace their total loss vehicles,” he continued.

“In summary, Hurricane Harvey is a devastating event for which the whole-car and salvage auction industry stands ready to respond through efficient vehicle disposal and replacement with an abundance of supply,” Kontos concluded.

Cox Automotive: Value of Harvey-damaged vehicles could reach nearly $5 billion

ATLANTA - 

Cox Automotive chief economist Jonathan Smoke on Friday estimated vehicle losses caused by Hurricane Harvey to come in between $2.7 billion and $4.9 billion in the Houston market alone.

While that projected figure includes dealerships’ used-vehicle inventory since those units are classified as vehicles in operation, Smoke indicated that loss figure could swell even more once the damage toll of new vehicles flooded at franchised dealerships is tabulated, too.

“Our hearts go out to the people of Houston and everyone impacted by the weather,” Smoke said to open a conference call Cox Automotive hosted for the media before delving into the loss estimates.

Smoke reiterated his previous assessment that 300,000 to 500,000 vehicles are likely damaged just in Houston; the seventh market largest by population and eighth largest for vehicles in operation consisting of 5.6 million units.

“We reviewed damages numbers in both (Hurricane) Katrina and (Superstorm) Sandy, which were the most comparable storms. We looked at the reporting of wide-spread flooding, which more resembled Katrina than Sandy. We took into account the high vehicle density and the dependency on vehicles in Houston,” Smoke said.

“Therefore we concluded that 500,000 (units) was entirely possible,” he continued. “If we’re correct, it would be the worst in terms of vehicle damage in history. Sandy impacted a bigger market, but the damage was not as severe, and the vehicle density was lower. Katrina had even more severe damage but in less populated, less vehicle dense and smaller area.”

With so much damage likely to be recorded, Smoke delved into the wholesale volume and price ramifications likely ahead.

The record-setting streak for the Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index already reached three months in a row when Cox Automotive shared the latest reading on Aug. 7.

The report indicated wholesale used-vehicle prices (on a mix-, mileage- and seasonally adjusted basis) increased 0.75 percent month-over-month in July. This rise brought the index reading to 130.3, which was a record high for the third consecutive month and a 2.6-percent increase from a year ago.

The new high mark is more than 30 points above the index’s low point of 98.0 registered in December 2008.

To project what might happen, Smoke explained that he and the Cox Automotive team went back to Manheim data recorded at the time of both Katrina and Sandy.

“Basically it behaved as you would expect,” Smoke said. “If you take a step back and think, ‘OK the disaster does two things simultaneously.’ It decreases supply both in terms of what might have been on dealer lots in those locations, but also in terms of what would have been potential supply; cars that people might have been trading in or otherwise selling. And at the same time, it increases demand because people are needing to replace their vehicles in a very short period of time that otherwise would not have been remotely considering a vehicle purchase.

“What we’ve observed is you see a break in the pattern in terms if there had been continued growth in supply in the wholesale channel, sudden in the non-salvage you see flat or declining volumes for a couple of months. And related to that you typically see price strength, which makes complete sense. If there is tighter supply and stronger demand, that would amplify prices for a two to three months following the storm,” he continued.

“Wholesale prices have been really strong for the last three months,” Smoke went on to say. “The indicator in August was that trend was continuing so that means wholesale prices are very likely to be strong through the end of the year. Before I was sort of on the fence about whether or not that trend could continue indefinitely or whether it would reach a place and plateau. Now this effect on supply, it’s likely to remain at least as strong as we’ve been seeing through the end of the year.”

And as dealers look for inventory to meet rising consumer demand, the salvage space is likely to become even busier as Harvey-damaged units make their way into that wholesale segment.

“No question this is the biggest event in history in terms of the total volume of vehicles damaged,” Smoke said. “This is going to have lingering effects on the wholesale market for some period of time in terms of increased volumes that should be going to salvage and working their way through the system. But also in terms of the industry and consumers having to deal with their own due diligence in tracking vehicles that could have been damaged but didn’t get properly identified as damaged, and therefore, salvage.”

Editor’s note: Watch for a future report from AuSM that will highlight analysis from experts at Autotrader and Kelley Blue Book about how the damage from Hurricane Harvey will impact retail sales.

UPDATED: Harvey damage estimate approaches 1M vehicles

CARY, N.C. - 

As auctions in the region continue to modify their businesses in the wake of Hurricane Harvey, Black Book shared an estimation on Thursday morning that 500,000 to 1 million damaged vehicles will have to be replaced in the city of Houston and surrounding regions.

The National Weather Service said on Wednesday that the storm dumped 51.88 inches of rain in Cedar Bayou, Texas, establishing a new record within the continental U.S.

“Black Book expects the impact of the hurricane to have far-reaching effects, not only on Houston-area automotive businesses such as dealerships and wholesale auctions, but also throughout the South and Midwest,” the company said in a message to AuSM.

“In fact, the storm continues to actively affect parts of Louisiana, moving northeast toward Tennessee,” Black Book continued.

According to an announcement posted on LinkedIn by Casey Allison, who is operations manager at America’s Auto Auction Houston, both of the company’s facilities in the Bayou City cancelled their weekly sales.

“Taking into consideration the safety of our America’s Auto Auction employees and dealers, we have decided to cancel this week’s sales,” the announcement said. “Both North Houston and South Houston America’s Auto Auction locations will resume next week.

“Our main priority is to focus on the well-being of those effected by the hurricane,” the announcement added.

Earlier this week, Cox Automotive officials explained how its Manheim facilities in the region initially would be handling challenges presented by Harvey.

According to an updated message sent to AuSM late on Thursday afternoon, the company said no sales will be held at Manheim Houston, Manheim Texas Hobby and Manheim South Houston during the week of Sept. 4.

In Louisiana, the team at Lake Charles Auto Auction sustained the impact when Harvey circled back into the Gulf of Mexico and struck near the three-lane facility this week.

“We have experienced tremendous volumes of rain and experienced some flooding,” Lake Charles Auto Auction owner Matt Pedersen said in a release sent to AuSM, “but nothing like our neighbors in Texas.”

Lake Charles AA delayed its usual Wednesday sale with plans to host it on Friday. The auction serves dealers from Lake Charles, Baton Rouge, Lafayette and New Orleans and throughout Louisiana, and because of its proximity to southeast Texas, regularly welcomes dealers from Port Arthur, Beaumont and Houston, as well.

“This delay has given us time to begin the logistic preparations that will occur in coming weeks,” Pedersen said. “Vehicles will be moved across the country to begin replacing the thousands of vehicles flooded and destroyed throughout southeastern Texas and in pockets of Louisiana.”

As auctions and dealers look to reorganize, Black Book projected that the rental industry will be impacted first with the supply challenge as thousands of residents will need to find immediate replacement of personal transportation.

“This entails not only a large quantity, but also the right mix of vehicles. Work trucks and service vehicles will be in extremely high demand immediately,” Black Book said.

Black Book recapped that early estimates say more than 500 dealerships have been impacted in the greater Houston area alone.

“We believe there is enough new inventory in the U.S. to supply the consumers’ needs, and the timing may actually be good with new-car stores looking to deplete the 2017 models at model-year changeover,” Black Book said.

“New-vehicle SAAR that has been on a decline this year will see a lift in the coming months as residents start replacing their damaged vehicles,” editors continued.

Pedersen noted how commercial consignors likely will be steering volume toward the region to meet upcoming demand. He added that his operation in Lake Charles could be a prime place for dealers to find the inventory they need. recently broke ground on a new 6,500 square-foot office facility, which will open in next fall.

“We have heard from consignors around the tri-state area who want to be able to market their vehicles to dealers who must fill this important need quickly and efficiently,” Pedersen said. “The transportation companies like the logistics of our location to facilitate the movement of vehicles from around the state.

“Given the extent of this disaster,” Pedersen said, “we expect the need for slightly older and late-model used cars, trucks and SUVs to last for months. We will be doing all we can to help facilitate this recovery. The first thing people will need to begin the process of their homes and businesses back in order is a vehicle.”

Late-model auction volume down in July, but still up from 2016

CARY, N.C. - 

There was a double-digit slide in the auction volume of late-model vehicles from June to July — but that’s typical for summer, J.D. Power said in a report this week.

And what’s more, late-model auction volume was up more than 7 percent year-to-date through July.

According to the latest Guidelines report from J.D. Power Valuation Services, auction volume was at 208,736 for vehicles 3 years old or newer in July. That was down 16.4 percent month-over-month, a decline that J.D. Power called “common for this time of year.”

In seven months, late-model auction volume has amassed 1.68 million units, compared to 1.57 million in the same time frame of 2016, J.D. Power shared.

Trucks and SUVs are leading the auction volume gains, with luxury compact utility vehicles climbing 55 percent to top the list and midsize pickups jumping 35.7 percent.

The most significant decreases have been among the luxury midsize cars (down 22.6 percent) and large cars (down 12.5 percent).

Cars have a 54 percent share of auction volume, with trucks at 46 percent. J.D. Power points out this is the opposite of new-car sales, where trucks are dominating.

Looking at the overall auction market, sales were up 2 percent in the first half of the year, according to KAR Auction Services and AuctionNet analysis cited by AuSM correspondent Arlena Sawyers in this story.

National Auto Auction Association chief economist Ira Silver is forecasting more than 10 million auction sales this year, which would be a new record, the same story indicates.

 

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